Heroes of Ukraine

«Market Leader» - news and previews making you rich.

Friday, 23 August 02:01 (GMT -05:00)



Stock and commodities markets

Gold Keeps Losing Its Safe-Haven Asset Status


The amount of political and economic crises keeps on growing in the world but gold is still going down in value. International experts have been trying to figure out the reasons why contemporary investors are investing in other assets instead of gold as it used to be ages. It's interesting to note that they are mostly investing in dollar assets. 
 
Previously, investors used to load up on gold during various crises. Gold helped them to survive even the biggest crises out there. With that being said, gold has always been treated as safe-have asset, at least up until recently. The current situation varies significantly from all the precedents. The experts and observers say that today's world presents a lot of risks for the global financial system, including the trade ware between the United States and China, Brexit, the devaluation of the Turkish national currency, the tensions around Iran's nuclear program, internal political and debt issues in Italy, tougher Western sanctions against Russia and Iran, and of course, the likelihood of Trump's impeachment. Strangely enough, despite all of that, gold has been going down in value since April 2018. 
 
According to NordFX's analytic center, April's gold prices reached the 12-month high at $1365/oz. After peaking at this price, gold started its downtrend. By mid August, the price had already dropped all the way down to $1170/oz, which is still the lowest price since January 2017. All in all, gold depreciated by 15% over the first 4 months of the downtrend.
 
Having analyzed the futures market, international experts say that never in the history of the international gold market have professionals gone bearish for gold. It seems that gold, which has always been a anti-crisis asset, has now been found knee-deep in crisis itself.
 

U.S. Dollar Attacks

 

International experts say there is a whole lot of possible reasons for the current situation in the gold market. Some of them say the key reasons boils down to the fact that the Indian market, which is one of the most crucial markets for gold, has seen a major decrease in demand. Others say that more and more investors start seeing tech stocks like Google and Apple as next-gen safe-haven assets. Yet another group assumes that the market has been afraid of a major gold sellout by the Central Bank of Turkey, which is why international investors have been reducing their exposure to gold. 
 
However, most experts share the same opinion that the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar is yet another major reason why gold has been weak over the last couple of months. The thing is that more often than not, the financial assets are usually traded for dollars. Since, the AMerican currency is negatively correlated with those assets for obvious reasons, any strengthening of the U.S. Dollar means weakness for those assets, which is something we can see now in the market of gold. The thing is, when the U.S. Dollar gets stronger, this makes gold purchases more expensive, and that's why international buyers have to suspend their gold purchases for a while. By the way, the same holds true for another popular commodity assets, which is crude oil.
 
While the Fed keeps on toughening their monetary policies, T-bond yields are rising, thus making T-bond investments more attractive. Some experts belive that the American currency is probably going to continue strengthening, which means gold is destined to see the flight of capital for more profitable assets like U.S. T-bonds. 
 

 

You are free to discuss this article here:   forum for traders and investors

 

Add to blog
Got a question? – Ask it here »
 

US-China Trade War Makes Oil Prices Drop

The previous trading week wasn't an exiting one. The oil prices grew in the first part of the week while trying to make up for the losses of the previous week. Still, the second half of the week turned out to be a bearish one. WTI oil prices dropped below 55 dollars per barrel while brent oil dropped down to 61 dollars per barrel. Yet, the bearish momentum is still there.

Publication date: 04 August 08:33 AM

Gold Prices At Highest Levels Since 2013

The recent statements made by the governors and presidents of the world's leading central banks, including the Fed and the ECB, eventually resulted ingold prices making it over 1400 dollars per troy ounce. This means that the current price of gold is the highest one over the last 6 years. So, the bull market of gold is underway.
Publication date: 03 August 04:17 AM

Middle East Tensions Support Oil Prices

The currenty trading week has been controversial for the international market of crude oil. Chances are, the market is going to be relatively neutral throughout the rest of the week. Brent oil is trading around 63,50 dollars per barrel while WTI costs 56 dollars per barrel.
Publication date: 30 July 11:07 AM

Is Economic Decline In USA Inevitable?

The NY Fed model points out to the fact that the probability of another recession in the American economy has increased all the way up to 33%. Over the last 50 years, such signals have almost always bee followed by recessions.
 
Publication date: 13 July 08:39 AM

Will USA Manage To Prevent Stock Market Crash?

The U.S. Federal Reserve has eased their rhetorics in order to avoid another stock market crash. International experts are now trying to predict the possible consequences of the decision made by the American financial regulator, especially form the stand point of international investors. 

Publication date: 11 July 11:31 AM

Masterforex-V Names Biggest Stock Exchanges

Stock exchanges have been operating worldwide for many decades. They are specific financial institutions  or marketplaces that operate to let people and companies invet in various stocks and other securities. Those are the stocks issued by various companies representing various industries - from mining to services. These days, you can invest in stocks, indexes, bonds, options, and other securities.
 
Publication date: 17 May 11:57 AM

Masterforex-V Names SSE's 20 Biggest Companies

There are several cities in the world that can be called centers of business and financial activity. Shanghai, China, is definitely one of them. This is the home to China's biggest stick exchange. Shanghai Stock Exchange (or SSE for short) is the world's 4th biggest stock exchange in terms of market cap and number one in terms of the pace of growth.

Publication date: 17 May 11:23 AM

Masterforex-V Experts Call Hong Kong Exchange Financial World's Biggest Provoker

At the current stange of market relations, one can easily define the spots of the biggest economic and financial growth. Apparently, stock exchanges are on the list.On the one hand, the constant turnover of financial assets is a good thing, so is the opportunity to buy or salle a stock without major effort. On the other hand, internatinal experts have been signaling potential threats for quite a long time. At Masterforex-V Academy, they think that the major provoker in the financial world is Hong Kong Stock Exchange (SEHK). By the way, this is the world's 6th biggest stock exchange in terms of market capitalization. Apparently, this kind of significance in the financial world is the key reason for those potential threats.

Publication date: 01 May 01:08 AM

Will U.S. Stock Market Grow This Year?

The American stock market has reached another crucial strange. The forthcoming macroeconomic stats may trigger a major move in any of the 2 directions. International experts say that the future market reaction will depend on a number of macroeconomic stats as well as several events. However, the current bias seems to be bullish since at this point, there are no major reasons to expect another stock market crash within the next 12-18 months.
Publication date: 27 January 07:56 AM

Experts Anticipate U.S. Stock Market Crash This Winter

As you probably know, the U.S. stock market has been in the red zone over the last few weeks. International experts assume that this downtrend is likely to continue in the first quarter of 2019. The key reason is the fact that really huge volumes of risky assets are under the risk of forced sales, Market leader reports, with reference to Forbes.

Publication date: 04 January 04:13 AM