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Wednesday, 19 June 21:11 (GMT -05:00)



Business And Politics News

Stratfor Gave Prediction for the next 3 Months


The other day, Stratfor released another quarterly prediction for the global geopolitical situation.
 

 

 

 

According to the report, the USA will try to settle the nuclear dispute with North Korea. Europe will be waiting for the results of the presidential election in France. Russia will dive even deeper into the local problems. The OPEC will extend the Vienna Accord aimed at cutting oil production.
 
USA
 

 

Trade is expected to become one of the key issues in the American agenda over the mentioned period. To be more specific, Trump’s administration will try to explain to the Americans the newly-developed strategy to fight any currency manipulation abroad, which implies some trade regulation toughening and the reconsidering their attitude to the NAFTA. At the same time, Stratfor experts believe that Trump’s unclear stance will force America’s key trade partners seek tighter trade relations with other countries. However, some of them will retain their commitment to cooperating with the USA in the field of security and investments in order to avoid trade sanctions. China is expected to be one of such countries. China has been actively benefiting from its economic growth as well as the tensions between the USA and North Korea. 

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At the same time, they think that President Trump and his administration will do their best to implement at least secondary sanctions against North Korea. For that reason, the USA may provide South Korea with considerable military support to make China interfere with the conflict.
 
Russia and the Middle East
 
The American missile attack on a Syrian airbase aggravated the situation in Syria, increasing the risk of direct military clashes. Still, Stratfor experts believe that Moscow will be using the situation to urge Donald Trump for negotiations. Russia is unlikely to trust the USA and Europe anymore. Russian politicians will probably have to focus on numerous internal problems.
 
OPEC
 
Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members are expected to back oil production cuts in the region for 6 more months. If oil prices stabilize, Venezuela may well settle some of its urgent financial problems. However, Venezuela will still be facing a default in the second half of 2017.
 

 

European Union

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European leaders my face some challenges threatening to undermine their status. At the same time, all eyes are on the results of the presidential election in France. The result will show whether there will be a Frexit referendum. Italy is another country thinking about quitting the EU. That’s why the results of the presidential election in France may decide the fate of the entire union. In the worst case scenario, Europe will face serious shocks, which will also affect global financial markets, Stratfor experts predict.

 

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Experts on Statements Made by Russian Officials about Russian Economic Recovery

International experts have commented on the recent statements made by several Russian officials about some economic recovery in Russia. They say that the weak economic growth isn’t backed by higher standards of living in the Russian Federation.

Publication date: 23 April 02:05 AM

USA Today Names the Reasons Why the USA Is Concerned about the Situation in Ukraine

USA Today has named the reasons why the United states should be concerned about the armed conflict in the East of Ukraine.

 

Previously, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson asked his European colleagues why American taxpayers should be concerned about the situation in Ukraine. The answer came from his French colleague, who said that the United States should be interested in a strong Europe. On top of that, there are some other reasons why the USA shouldn’t stop thinking about Ukraine.

Publication date: 21 April 12:00 PM

Trump's Plan on Syria: Russia to Stay in Syria, Asad Has to Leave

At this point, several media sources, including Associated Press, report they know the details of the offer brought by Rex Tillerson to Moscow during his official visit. Now, everyone seems to be wondering what exactly Rex Tillerson and Sergey Lavrov discussed during their meeting in Moscow.
 

 

First of all, the sources claim that the USA is ready to unite forces with Russia to destroy the ISIS once and for all. Secondly, Bashar Asad has to quit anyway. He will be even allowed to go to Russia or Iran to avoid prosecution. Thirdly, a temporary government need to be established in Syria to back stabilization and holding a democratic election in Syria. Russia can stay in Syria to back security but they shouldn’t interfere with the local politics.
Publication date: 18 April 11:34 PM

Today's Russia-US Relations Are Worse Than During Obama’s Administration

At this point, the bilateral relations between Moscow and Washington are even worse than they used to be during Obama’s administration. This is what President Putin thinks on the matter.

 

 
Even though the Russian president thinks so, he hasn’t commented on the details of this degradation in the bilateral relations between the 2 superpowers. He assumes that the level of trust between the United States and the Russian Federation has dropped, especially on the military level.
 
Publication date: 18 April 11:05 PM

Will North Korea Become Another Syria for the USA?

The latest events in Syria made many international observers change their mind regarding President Trump. The current conditions also show that getting rid of North-Korean leader Kim Jong Un may also become a major goal for President Trump.

 

 
The news that U.S. aircraft carrier Carl Vinson suddenly reversed and moved to the Western part of the Pacific Ocean in the direction of the Korean Peninsula attracted the interest of the international community. Given the 59 missiles launched to hit a Syrian airbase a couple of weeks ago, this maneuver of the aircraft carrier does raise a lot of concerns.
Publication date: 18 April 03:29 AM

OPEC's Average Oil Price Raises to $53,67

The average price of a barrel of the crude oil produced by the OPEC is reported to have gone all the way up to $53,67. This is confirmed by the cartel’s official website. This happened yesterday. At this point, the price has retraced a bit and is currently trading around $53,36/b, Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 13 April 07:54 AM

Brexit Will Split UK. Scotland’s Getting Ready for Another Referendum

The Scottish government is reported to have initiated another referendum dedicated to quitting the United Kingdom.
 

 

The whole point is, Scotland wants to stay a part of the European Union. Given the fact that being also a part of the United Kingdom, Scotland will also have to quit the EU together with other UK fellow members.
Publication date: 13 April 01:23 AM

Tillerson Brings Russia an Ultimatum on Syria

Rex Tillerson offered Vladimir Putin to betray Bashar Asad. The US Secretary of State came to Moscow with an ultimatum, experts report. At the same time, we are now witnessing an unprecedented situation. The thing is, this is the first time, a high-ranking politician representing a superpower comes to Moscow without knowing whether he is going to meet with the Russian President.

Publication date: 12 April 03:44 AM

USA Won't Make a Deal with Russia at the Expense of Ukraine, Tillerson Says

According to several Western media sources, United States Secretary of States Rex Tillerson had a phone talk with Ukrainian President Poroshenko yesterday, right in advance of his visit to Moscow.

Publication date: 11 April 09:46 PM

German Government Hopes That Moscow Reconsider His Attitude To Bashar Asad

The German government still hopes that the recent events happening in Syria will help Russia make the right decision. In particular, Berlin hopes that Moscow will stop supporting Bashar Asad in the Syrian conflict.  
 
Apparently, no one in Germany or the entire EU is surprised with the Kremlin’s hostile reaction to America’s missile assault on a Syrian airbase belonging to Asad’s troops. Moreover, it would be a surprise to see Moscow show another reaction to the USA’s decision to shell the airbase in Syria in response to the fact that Bashar Asad used chemical weapons, which led to massive deaths of civilians including children.
Publication date: 11 April 10:35 AM